Skip to main content

Section 10.7 Exercises

Given Y = 30 successes in n = 100 trials, determine a 90% confidence interval for the unknown value for p.
Solution.
p~=0.3 and z0.05=1.645 gives
0.3โˆ’1.6450.3โ‹…0.7100<p<0.3+1.6450.3โ‹…0.7100
or
0.225<p<0.375.
Given a preliminary estimate p0~=0.23, determine the same size needed for determine a 95% confidence interval for p with margin of error 0.02.
Solution.
Using z0.025=1.96,
n>(1.960.02)2โ‹…0.23โ‹…0.77โ‰ˆ1700.87
and so pick at least 1701 as the sample size.
Randomly polling 3200 eligible voters for governor in a particular state resulted in finding that 1590 favored your candidate. Determine an appropriate 95% confidence interval for the true proportion p of voters who favor your candidate. Noting that p~ in this instance is smaller than 50%, write a short paragraph regarding what you might conclude from this confidence interval regarding your candidateโ€™s chances in winning the election.
Solution.
Note that although the point estimate is below 50%, the confidence interval includes the possibility that the actual value for p is greater than 50%. So, you cannot conclude that your candidate will either win or lose.
Given a sample mean of xโ€•=25.3 with n = 121 and sample variance s2=12.1, determine a 99% confidence interval for the true mean ฮผ.
Solution.
Using z0.005=2.576 and s=12.1โ‰ˆ3.4786 gives a confidence interval
25.3โˆ’2.576โ‹…3.478611<ฮผ<25.3+2.576โ‹…3.478611
or
24.4854<ฮผ<26.1148.
TBA
Roll two regular pair of dice 35 times, recording the sum of the dots for each roll. Using the data from your sample, determine the corresponding sample mean and sample variance. Using this data, create a 95% confidence interval for the population mean and a 95% "centered" confidence interval for the standard deviation. Once complete, compare your results with what you know should be the correct population statistics an appropriate "hat" distribution. (You might want to use the chi-square calculator provided earlier in this text.)
Go back over your 35 rolls and count the number of 7โ€™s or 11โ€™s rolled. Determine a corresponding relative frequency for this outcome. Using this data, create a 95% confidence interval for the theoretical proportion of success p. Compare your result with what you know should be the correct theoretical p.
Repeat this exercise but this time roll 105 times. Notice how these differ from the confidence intervals created with the smaller set. Write a paragraph describing how these compare and whether one is better or not than the other.